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Old 14-11-2024, 08:35 PM #726
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Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now
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Old 14-11-2024, 09:20 PM #727
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Default Big Brother 2024 Betting Odds Thread [ALI CLEAR FAVE TO WIN]

Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now

So you bet £5 to win £2 ?


It was £4.50 to win £2 .. so she’s MORE of a favourite ??

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Last edited by Zizu; 14-11-2024 at 09:23 PM.
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Old 14-11-2024, 09:24 PM #728
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now
I might aswell make a bet then
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Old 14-11-2024, 09:43 PM #729
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zizu View Post
So you bet £5 to win £2 ?


It was £4.50 to win £2 .. so she’s MORE of a favourite ??

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I’m not really clear on how the betting works, but yes, her odds are now about 71%. I believe that’s what Jordan’s were last year. Marcello still at 20% iirc
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Old 14-11-2024, 09:45 PM #730
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I have a question though…. Why would anyone bet £5 to win £2?? Surely at that point everyone just stops betting on that person because there’s no reward, and the odds stop going up?
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Old 14-11-2024, 09:54 PM #731
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
I’m not really clear on how the betting works, but yes, her odds are now about 71%. I believe that’s what Jordan’s were last year. Marcello still at 20% iirc

Its a mystery to me as well


We used to bet on the Grand National occasionally but only if the horse we’d had a tip on was 10:1 though… where you bet a £1 to win £10


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Old 14-11-2024, 10:29 PM #732
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
I have a question though…. Why would anyone bet £5 to win £2?? Surely at that point everyone just stops betting on that person because there’s no reward, and the odds stop going up?
£50 would win you £20, why not bet?
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Old 14-11-2024, 10:34 PM #733
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Come on BB hurry up and crown Ali the winner,I'm glad it's nearly finished .

Whoever puts bets on Ali ,will be having a nice Christmas this year .
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Old 14-11-2024, 11:57 PM #734
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OnTheRight View Post
£50 would win you £20, why not bet?
But you’ll have spent £50….so surely you ultimately just end up spending £30. Is there something I’m not getting?
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Old 15-11-2024, 01:06 AM #735
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
But you’ll have spent £50….so surely you ultimately just end up spending £30. Is there something I’m not getting?

Ahhhh

You get your initial bet BACK. ..

So you end up with £70


Or lose £50 if she doesn’t win


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Old 15-11-2024, 07:19 AM #736
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I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%

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Old 15-11-2024, 07:41 AM #737
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Benjamin View Post
I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%

Stop it Benjamin you're getting me all excited!

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Old 15-11-2024, 08:00 AM #738
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zizu View Post
Ahhhh

You get your initial bet BACK. ..

So you end up with £70


Or lose £50 if she doesn’t win


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
Ahhhh I see, that makes more sense
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Old 15-11-2024, 10:08 AM #739
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Benjamin View Post
I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%

Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though

Last edited by Bronzo; 15-11-2024 at 10:12 AM.
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Old 15-11-2024, 10:35 AM #740
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bronzo View Post
Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though
This is exactly what I think will happen. I didn’t want the Helen/Ashleigh series as I only lasted two weeks due to finding Helen appalling to watch. How was Ashleigh more polarising than HELEN?!
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Old 15-11-2024, 10:54 AM #741
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BBXX View Post
This is exactly what I think will happen. I didn’t want the Helen/Ashleigh series as I only lasted two weeks due to finding Helen appalling to watch. How was Ashleigh more polarising than HELEN?!
Back then there wasn't such a thing as free votes. Ashleigh was at risk on numerous occasions leading up to the final whilst Helen was safe due to being given immunity on opening night. Helen fans could save their cash for the final, whilst Ashleigh fans had to spend again and again to keep her in, let alone have her win the show.
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Old 15-11-2024, 10:55 AM #742
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FromBB8 View Post
Back then there wasn't such a thing as free votes. Ashleigh was at risk on numerous occasions leading up to the final whilst Helen was safe due to being given immunity on opening night. Helen fans could save their cash for the final, whilst Ashleigh fans had to spend again and again to keep her in, let alone have her win the show.
Ah I see! I didn't realise Helen won immunity for the whole show on opening night. That's insane?
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Old 15-11-2024, 10:56 AM #743
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i still don't believe Ali will win, she just doesn't have the personality profile of a bb winner. I would suggest Hanah is a more likely winner than Ali. I think Ali will finish 3rd or 4th
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Old 15-11-2024, 10:56 AM #744
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BBXX View Post
Ah I see! I didn't realise Helen won immunity for the whole show on opening night. That's insane?
It went down like a bucket of cold sick at the time.
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Old 15-11-2024, 10:58 AM #745
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Quote:
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It went down like a bucket of cold sick at the time.
I must have blanked it out because I watched for the few couple of weeks but turned off because it was just Helen arguing with everyone.
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Old 15-11-2024, 12:01 PM #746
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bronzo View Post
Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though
One thing that’s interesting to me is I’ve noticed Marcello is actually not second in popularity in most of the polls I’m seeing. He’s only in the top 2 on FB and Digital Spy. I still feel like he will be in the top 2 and have a decent chance of winning, but it gives me pause. Is it possible he’s not as popular as we think he is?
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Old 15-11-2024, 12:05 PM #747
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Benjamin View Post
I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%

On oddschecker Ali is still 4/11 (around 71%) and Marcello 11/2 (around 15%). Are you going off William Hill?
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Old 15-11-2024, 12:06 PM #748
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Oh on William Hill Ali is now 2/7 (77%) but if oddschecker combines all the different bookies I’m going to trust them more!
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Old 15-11-2024, 12:33 PM #749
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To win;

4/11 Ali Bromley
11/2 Marcello Spooks
14/1 Emma Morgan
20/1 Hanah Haji
25/1 Nathan King
66/1 Segun Shodipo

Ali's as low as 1/5. Game over.
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Old 15-11-2024, 12:40 PM #750
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a huge number of repeat votes will come in during the show. On each eviction, the votes are refreshed
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